Average monthly air temperatures across Kazakhstan in November will exceed the climate norm by 2°C, signaling a notably delayed winter, according to infohub.kz.
Kazhydromet meteorologists presented an advisory forecast for the final month of autumn. According to their data, the average monthly temperature in November across most of the country, as well as in the mountainous areas of the southeast, is expected to range from 0 to -5°C, while in the southern and southwestern parts of the country thermometers will register between +1 and +9°C.
Precipitation is forecast to be near normal in almost all regions. However, above-normal precipitation is expected in certain areas of North Kazakhstan, East Kazakhstan, West Kazakhstan, Pavlodar, Kostanay, Akmola, Aktobe, and Almaty regions, as well as in the Abai and Zhetysu regions.
In Astana, the monthly average temperature is expected to be around -3.6°C, which is 1.6°C above normal. At the beginning of the month, the air will warm up to +7…+12°C, then gradually cool to -4…-9°C. In mid-November, it will get even colder — down to -7…-12°C, and in the third decade, the first frosts will hit, reaching -10…-15°C. Snow, blizzards, fog, and ice are also forecast. Winds will occasionally gust up to 15–20 m/s.
In Almaty, the average monthly temperature will reach +5.4°C, which is 2.5°C above normal. In the first half of November, the air will heat up to a record +23°C, but later nighttime frosts will set in, dropping to -3…+2°C. The second half of the month will also start warm, up to +7…+12°C. In the third decade, it will cool noticeably at night to -3…-8°C, but just before December, temperatures will rise again to +10…+15°C. Rain, snow, ice, and fog are also forecast. Winds will accelerate to 15 m/s.
In Shymkent, the monthly average air temperature is expected to be +8.7°C, which is 2.6°C above normal. The last month of autumn will begin with warmth of +17…+22°C. Then temperatures will traditionally drop to -2…+3°C. However, the cold snap will be short-lived: already at the beginning of the second decade, the air will warm up to +12…+17°C. The third decade of November will also be contrasting: first, frosts down to -3…+2°C, and later a sharp rise in temperature to +15…+20°C. Precipitation will mainly be in the form of rain and wet snow. Ice and fog are also possible. Winds will be gusty up to 15 m/s.
Recall that a storm warning was issued for Friday, October 16, in 16 regions of Kazakhstan. Meteorologists promise fog, precipitation, and even snow, ice, frost, and strong winds. High and extreme fire danger persists in several regions.
Earlier, Kursiv wrote that rain, snow, and nighttime frosts are expected in Kazakhstan on October 15–17, 2026. In the east, temperatures will drop to -11°C, while in the south and west, daytime temperatures will reach +25°C. Precipitation will occur across most of the country. In the east and southeast on October 15, heavy rain and snow are expected at times. Ice is also forecast in the east.