The rate of global temperature rise has nearly doubled since 2015, reaching 0.35°C per decade, according to the website infohub.kz.
A new analysis of data by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) confirms a sharp acceleration of global warming. The results were published in the scientific journal Geophysical Research Letters.
A team of experts led by Stefan Rahmstorf from PIK and American statistics expert Grant Foster analyzed five major global temperature datasets: NASA, NOAA, HadCRUT, Berkeley Earth, and ERA5. To identify the pure long-term trend, climatologists excluded the influence of short-term natural factors such as El Niño, volcanic eruptions, and solar activity cycles.
The cleaned data showed an acceleration of warming since 2015 with statistical confidence exceeding 98%. While from 1970 to 2015 the planet warmed at an average rate of just under 0.2°C per decade, over the last decade this figure has been about 0.35°C. The authors note that if this pace continues, the 1.5°C warming threshold will be exceeded before 2030.