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Kazakhstan has officially recorded its hottest year since meteorological observations began in 1941, marking a significant milestone in the country's climate history.

Climate Warming Trend Confirmed

A comprehensive analysis by Kazhydromet, detailed in their review "Climate Peculiarities in Kazakhstan in 2025," reveals a consistent warming trend across the nation. Since the 1960s, each decade has been warmer than the last, underscoring a long-term shift in climatic conditions.

The period between 2016 and 2025 saw an average temperature of +7.11 degrees Celsius, which is 0.83 degrees above the norm. Even more striking, the five-year span from 2021 to 2025 registered as the warmest on record, with an average temperature of +7.55 degrees Celsius.

Further evidence of accelerating climate change comes from the fact that nine of the ten warmest years on record have occurred in the 21st century.

2025: A Record-Breaking Year

In 2025, the temperature anomaly reached a staggering +2.11 degrees Celsius, surpassing the previous record set in 2023 (+1.73 degrees Celsius). This extreme warmth was particularly pronounced in the northwestern and central regions, as well as in the Kyzylorda region and parts of the western and eastern areas, where deviations exceeded +2.5 degrees Celsius.

The report indicates that 176 meteorological stations across Kazakhstan registered exceptionally high temperatures. For 138 of these stations, 2025 stands as the warmest year in their observational history dating back to 1941.

Precipitation Levels Remain Within Norms

Despite the record heat, average annual precipitation across the country was recorded at 295.7 millimeters, representing 91.8 percent of the normal amount. However, some regions experienced deficits, notably in the Zhambyl and Turkestan regions.

Conversely, Pavlodar region saw a surplus of over 23 percent above the norm. The northern and eastern regions recorded the highest precipitation, with some areas exceeding normal levels by up to 150 percent.

Long-Term Climate Projections

Meteorologists project that the average annual temperature in Kazakhstan will continue to rise, with an estimated increase of 0.4 degrees Celsius per decade during the period of 1976–2025. The early 2000s saw a prevalence of positive temperature deviations, a trend that has intensified since the 2010s.

Looking ahead, preliminary forecasts for the summer of 2026 suggest a mix of hot periods, short-term rains, thunderstorms, hail, and strong winds.

This information was reported by the Infohub.kz news agency.